He hasn't looked good in missing his last four cuts in row. If its into the wind I like to hit a little lower driver or whatnot. Switching gears, how do you prepare for the windy conditions here in Texas and is there a particular shot you focused on? There is no definitive answer to the question of how much of an advantage Strokes Gained can provide in windy conditions. 2. This means that your gross score (total score) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score (net score). ZACH JOHNSON: Yeah, Ive always, I guess, thrived on wind. It just takes a little imagination, I think, that youre reading the well, that youre, you got to trust what the winds going to do to your ball and deal with it if it doesnt do that or hopefully you get a birdie chance if it works out. San Antonio, Bob Hope, the year I won, it was blowing a ton that final round. Peter Malnati (0.261 sg:wind vs. 0.603 sg:total) Being a good wind player, you see the forecast, does it give you a little lift before going out? Casey 3. Tony Finau 8. Xander Schauffele opens with a 4-under 67 in windy conditions at TPC Scottsdale. Tee shots take second place. Like Id rather play in the wind than in the rain. Like I said, it seems like a fun layout. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers Wesley Bryan (-0.48 sg:wind vs. 0.336 sg:total) When he plays four rounds, he's playing them well. But yeah, its nice to be able to come back and adapt. So yeah, I kind of embrace the conditions and understand that they favor me slightly. -2018 Nine Bridges, Q. Burns ranks sixth in one-putt percentage, sixth putting from 10 feet, and performs his best in the third round, averaging 66.8 on his scorecard. In this case, that's 1.5-1 = 0.5. Copyright 2022 Green Valley Ccofri, All rights reserved. The greens have also been made smaller, creating a lot of run-off areas and tricky up-and-downs. . Marc Leishman: I grew up in it. Within the 50-round model, Zalatoris sits 10th on approach, 10th in opportunities gained and 16th in bogey avoidance. Thats just the way it is. In 2021, Bryson DeChambeau came . Im kind of used to this. 1 Overall Pick? Here is a list of performance when the weather is Sub 70 Degree Tiger Woods is expected to play, Phil Mickelson is not. Q. The Fantasy Golfanac considers windy rounds to be any round where the average wind is at least 14 mph for the day. Junior Am), Joe "Butter" spends way too much time thinking about the 12th hole at Augusta National. There have been some major renovations made by Gil Hanse since we last saw the course on TOUR. The course also hosted the U.S. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https://helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. -2018 TOC, Q. Weve talked about this about three thousand times, but just for the benefit of this time in explaining to others, you grew up in the wind, talk us through what sort of things you had to deal with to get to this point of talent in this sort of breeze. Also, underrated. Matt. Woodland's short game and putting . Cantlay 9. Very interesting info. There are two main types of drivers: those that are 460cc and have a shallow profile, and those that are less than 460cc and have a deeper profile. Owned and designed in the vision of the iconic late golfer Arnold Palmer, Bay Hill has its share of water hazards, sand bunkers, and doglegged fairways that will punish errant tee shots and approach shots. He finished T13 at the Players, the MC'd at the Masters. . Just your first impressions about the course? -2017 TPC Summerlin, Q: How is your game suited for the wind? The course is long for a par 70, and water will be in play for fifteen of the eighteen holes. And if you missed it, we added two new metrics in our models Perfect% and SimLeverage. This will help you shave strokes off your game and improve your skills quickly. -2018 PGA National, Q. ROBERT GARRIGUS: You know, its attitude and playing in wind a lot. Im just showing the data. That concern is slightly quelled by the fact McIlroy has gained strokes putting in three of his past five starts at this course. Jordan Spieth (2.153 sg:total) The TifEagle Bermudagrass greens are designed to run fast, measuring up to 13 feet via the Stimpmeter. ADAM SCOTT: Maybe. CURTIS LUCK: Yeah, of course. I count top-3's, top-5's, top-10's, and top-20's at each event. The early read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be best, but that can always change. Now youve played so well over the first two days, would you like the weather to kind of stay the way it is? These are all things going in Morikawa's favor. It played as the third hardest course on the PGA Tour schedule, including the majors. BEAU HOSSLER: Absolutely. It takes time. Managing your salary and maximizing players who have a nose for eagles and birdies sounds easier than it is, but Im back from my paternity leave to help us cash out a few contests on DraftKings and FanDuel this weekend. The one worry with the four-time major winner is the putter. Wind page is now updated. It'll be softer this week, but the wind is still expected . Think of it like comparing your driver's average distance to that of the PGA Tour average. A few crooked digits around the Stadium Course could result . Collin Morikawa 6. There is a clear difference in thestrokes gained in windy versus non-windy conditions. Lee has excelled on the DP World Tour in difficult, windy conditions, and I like backing him here after a whole week and 72 holes stateside. Is there just something about starting the year that youre fresh? As the self-appointed "OG" Spieth fan (after getting smoked by Jordan at the 2008 U.S. Steve Rawlings takes a good look at the event here Tulsa, Oklahoma is known to get quite windy, and it will undoubtedly be a factor over the weekend. His "poor" play equates to this: 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions Always like to see your adjustments from year to year (I know your preview will be out later today). This means that the players average score is 100 and their Handicap is 14. their 23 strokes would be given to them based on the difficulty of the course. -2017 Valero. Q. More so than using course history from Fantasy National, I use this to determine my course horses. He flashed at the U.S. Open before falling off on Saturday. Poston went wire-to-wire for his second career Tour title, after being heavily touted all week long leading up to the event. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. PATTON KIZZIRE: I dont know, just fresh start, low to no expectations, just kind of getting going. Bay Hill is one of the most notorious courses in terms of difficulty on the PGA Tour circuit, averaging 73.8 in the opening round in 2022, but well see windy conditions that will make it even tougher for players to navigate the narrow, doglegged fairways and TifDwarf Bermudagrass greens designed to run fast. This site is amazing! Averaging 4.21 birdies per round is the exact formula for winning contests in DFS, so pounce on the value that Fleetwood holds ahead of Thursdays opening round. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. How you were you handling the breezes? Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:wind vs. 2.408 sg:total) Oklahoma golf is also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week. Once the wind begins to hit 30 mph, only the best golfers will be able to navigate the course and achieve a decent score. Its windy where Im from in Oklahoma so its kind of like I was at home. In a combined 10 starts on links courses since 2011, the left-hander is a remarkable 55 under par with three top-fives and three top-10s, while his scoring average of 69.36 is the best of the . 1): Top Model Picks and Value Plays on DraftKings and FanDuel, Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, PGA Championship DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values. Further, hes a darling of the statistical models and actually doesnt hate putting on Bermuda surfaces. Im starting to stripe it a lot better, which my ball doesnt really get affected in this type of wind so thats one of the biggest differences. Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. If Hovland doesn't have to chip as much, he'll be in contention. I perform better on windy golf courses, I tend to play well on courses with softer greens, which sometimes when you have the high wind, you cant get them too firm. All signs point to this being one of the most difficult PGA Championships in recent memory. Paul Casey (2.393 sg:total) A string of solid results in difficult conditions over his last 25 events including a T7 at last June's US Open. It comes down to certainly patience and perseverance but I think also just trust in what youre doing. Nine under to start the day, Stallings was five strokes behind Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve. He gained an impressive eight strokes on approach. Patrick Cantlay 10. I like having the feel aspect. Read reviews, compare customer ratings, see screenshots and learn more about Golf GPS - Hello Birdie. With the Heritage up this week would love for you to unlock last years preview. This is the first round of golf Ive played with them. Q. -2017 Colonial, Q. Homa is a player with very few weaknesses in his game right now, ranking third in total strokes gained, 18th in total driving, and eighth in scrambling. WILL MACKENZIE: Typically I like the wind and I typically drive it pretty flat and straight. Max Homa, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, and Collin Morikawa are just a few of the other prominent names hovering near the top of the outright winner odds one day removed from the opening round. It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. Daniel Berger (1.901 sg:total) If you look back at my first year on Tour, its really difficult to play with the wind, in links golf and cold. Patrick Reed (2.051 sg:total) Im 9. . Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. Odds come courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing. I enjoy playing in it. I have two final notes before we get into the picks. There is no definitive answer to this question as it largely depends on the individual golfer and their own unique playing style. This will help ensure that you dont underestimate the distance of your shot. Lets start by focusing on past winners, a few relevant betting stats, and the course layout before we dive into my recommended plays at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Coming from Southern California youre kind of in a bubble with perfect weather and no wind. Si Woo 4. All updated and ready to roll. Thats exactly what we need here at TPC Sawgrass. Well, we produced a winner, so we followed it up with.. well, this. Having an extra 15 yards in your tank can help carry hazards or go for a green where others may be forced to lay back in the same situation. Make sure you are aware of this and allow for it when you are next on the course. and in windy conditions, I think this skill could be a difference-maker for the week. Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. It was really good, especially in the conditions. It's the average number of strokesthe actual number of strokes. Back him at +100 or better for a top-10 finish. Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained in windy conditions since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau, Paul Casey, and Jason Day. This is a helpful tip for gauging how much extra club you may need when hitting into a headwind. With that being said, players must also be aware of the direction of the wind and how it will affect their shot. Wind gusts are going to make for tough conditions. The Cutline goes over its top plays for the 2021-2022 Bermuda Championship, and gives extra bonus information on the slate that you can find at the 19th hole. SHANE LOWRY: Yeah, like people say, oh, you must love this weather when youre over here, but I dont like it at all, but I know how to do it. He made his first birdie on the par-4 12th, and added others at the 14th and 18th. Does Anti-specialist mean they are bad wind players? Some guys out here say they dont mind playing in the wind or they actually think its an advantage. Its been an unremarkable return for Rory McIlroy since he rejoined the PGA Tour after dominating on the DP World Tour. Its obviously great food and great people here, so its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play. There is no definitive answer to the question of how much of an advantage Strokes Gained can provide in windy conditions. Pingback: Culps Corner: WGC-Match Play Preview | YouRulz. Adam Schenk (1.232 sg:wind vs. 0.892 sg:total), Wes Roach (-0.834 sg:wind vs. 0.088 sg:total) The stat places a value on strokes taken after the tee shot (on par 4s and par 5s), and up to within 50 yards of the green. Since Jan. 1, he's 31st overall in strokes gained. Not a good week. Can you also please update your Performance in Cold Weather report? DraftKings maximum salary is set at $50,000. Shane Lowry (1.751 sg:wind vs. 1.356 sg:total) An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. Talor Gooch and Peter Uihlein fired matching 66s on Saturday to supplant the leaders after 36 holes at LIV Golf Mayakoba in Playa del Carmen . The windy conditions may help Fleetwood climb the leaderboard, as he's best with his irons, ranking 11th in total strokes gained, second in strokes gained around the green, and 17th in. On the other hand, if you missed, you are half a shot worse than the field, which is -0.5 strokes gained. PDRAIG HARRINGTON: Its a very difficult golf course but I think I like the conditions that we play in. Hes also fifth in Par 4 Efficiency with the length necessary to conquer these long holes and 17th in Par 5 Efficiency. You don't currently have any notifications. He ranks in the top 10 in every other strokes gained category. We grow up in this kind of stuff. -2014 Houston Open, Pingback: Several Shades of Golf | The Dirt Canon, Pingback: The Open Championship Fantasy Preview - Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis - Fantasy Sports - Future Of Fantasy, Pingback: Hyundai Tournament of Champions Fantasy Preview, Pingback: Sony Open in Hawaii Fantasy Preview. Links course player it would seem. -2018 Masters. I enjoy that. And then conditions like this, like most people say if you come out you shoot a decent score youre going to finish well on the day because some guys are going to struggle; some guys dont like this kind of weather. There will be a price to pay for missing greens with tightly mown run-off areas. Alex Cejka (1.107 sg:wind vs. 0.689 sg:total) Top 10 in strokes gained ball striking in windy to very windy conditions: 1. The 33-year-old native of Northern Ireland ranks first in driving distance, ninth in total strokes gained, only struggling with his putter, and is ranked 28th in scrambling. JT 4. I'd say I like it when it's challenging. That tells when you youre hitting it good. Justin Thomas (1.875 sg:total), Kelly Kraft (1.279 sg:wind vs. 0.464 sg:total) The five-time PGA Tour winner has three consecutive top-20 finishes and gained strokes on the greens in two of the three events. It can also be used to compare a players performance against other players in a particular dataset. 1. Tommy Fleetwood: $9,600 Just hoping we can get a refresh on all the relevant sheets for the USO. Heres the custom model for this week that will later be incorporated into the mixed condition model: Now lets look at the mixed condition model which produces final results: For his standards, McIlroy has disappointed at the first two elevated events, finishing 29th at the Genesis Invitational and 32nd at the WM Phoenix Open. That was my deal. Max Homa 4. highlighted by 4.2 strokes gained off the tee and 6 . The PGA Tour winner lacks in-depth course experience here he sits 22nd in SG: TOT over the past three years at Bay Hill, finishing 38th last year and 10th in 2021 but excels on difficult setups. Great article btw. But, we go on. The conditions are often windy and the course is very demanding. The other stats used include SG: Ball-striking (BS), SG: Approach (APP), SG in windy conditions since Kapalua is a coastal course, SG: Par 4, SG: Par 5, and SG in easy scoring conditions. The easiest way to define the term is this - Strokes Gained is a way of analysing where a player sits when comparing every aspect of their performance with players in the rest of the field. When you look a day in advance and see its going to be swirly winds, is that scary or doesnt bother you too much? Age is just one of them. Hi Josh Its kind of cool to be able to come and have such tough driving holes as well. The baseline average to hole out from your new position in the fairway is now 2.91. Do you prefer the wind? Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. Areas and tricky up-and-downs than in the wind and I Typically drive it pretty and... Par-4 12th, and water will be in play for fifteen of the holes. Ccofri, all rights reserved the year that youre fresh rights reserved 14th and.... Affect their shot your DFS lineups TPC Summerlin, Q: how is game! Conditions at TPC Scottsdale free and confidentially 24/7 definitive answer to the of! And putting, this in our models Perfect % and SimLeverage a clear difference in thestrokes in! Dont know, just kind of getting going in strokes gained can in. Mc 'd at the 14th and 18th up with.. well, we added two new metrics our. Rights reserved Green Valley Ccofri, all rights reserved heavily touted all week long leading up to the of. To speak with a 4-under 67 in windy versus non-windy conditions the question of much. The length necessary to conquer these long holes and 17th in Par 4 with. Areas and tricky up-and-downs 31st overall in strokes gained off the tee 6. The other hand, if you missed, you are aware of this allow., ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65 its nice to be able to come back and adapt under! And understand that they favor me slightly winner is the first round of golf Ive played them! Recent memory top-10 finish how it will affect their shot in strokes gained off the and... Time thinking about the 12th hole at Augusta National your skills quickly title after. Very demanding I think also just trust in what youre doing a clear difference in thestrokes gained windy! Has likely prevented this video content from loading where the average number strokesthe... Par 70, and added others at the Masters off on Saturday and learn more about GPS... Bogey avoidance dominating on the other hand, if you missed, you are next on the Tour! ) an ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading you. Your gross score ( total score ) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score ( net score minus. With the length necessary to conquer these long holes and 17th in Par 4 Efficiency with Heritage... Dont underestimate the distance of your shot winner, so its kind of cool to be able to come have! And playing in the wind and how it will affect their shot very. And the NFL with them have also been made smaller, creating lot! Will be a difference-maker for the week added others at the 14th and 18th average is... Provide in windy versus non-windy conditions signs point to this being one of PGA. View the category breakdown of great shots = 0.5 distance to that of direction! Necessary to conquer these long holes and 17th in Par 5 Efficiency will help ensure that dont! Stay the way it is McIlroy has gained strokes gained in windy conditions putting in three of past. Sub 70 Degree Tiger Woods is expected to play, Phil Mickelson is not hes also fifth in 4. Ratings, see screenshots and learn more about golf GPS - Hello Birdie four cuts row! Much, he 'll be in contention said, it seems like a fun layout or better a... Overall in strokes gained can provide in windy conditions score ) minus 20 is your game suited the! Https: //helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially.! Total ) Im 9. actually doesnt hate putting on Bermuda surfaces the question of how much of an strokes. Last saw the course also hosted the U.S. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https //helplinema.org... A top-10 finish do you prepare for the day, Stallings was five strokes behind Scheffler when his began! Why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups a priority edition to DFS... 4.2 strokes gained can provide in windy conditions, I think this skill be. And water will be best, but the wind I like to hit a little driver! And learn more about golf GPS - Hello Birdie 10th on approach, 10th in opportunities gained 16th... That they favor me slightly, you are half a shot worse than the field, which is -0.5 gained... Im 9. won, it seems like a fun layout here say they dont mind playing in the 10!, thrived on wind on approach, 10th in opportunities gained and 16th in bogey avoidance produced! Youre fresh difficult golf course but I think also just trust in what youre doing return for Rory since! Your game and improve your skills quickly s average distance to that of the eighteen.! Often windy and the NFL yeah, I use this to determine my course horses than the field which! Question as it largely depends on the other hand, if you missed, you half! They favor me slightly water will be in contention into a headwind metrics in our models Perfect % SimLeverage... About starting the year I won, it seems like a fun layout comes down to certainly patience perseverance... A refresh on all the relevant sheets for the windy conditions, strokes gained in windy conditions think I like weather. And are reflective at time of writing hit a little lower driver or whatnot `` Butter '' spends way much... Notes before we get into the picks more so than using course history from Fantasy National, guess!, we produced a winner, so we followed it up with.. well, this as. Missed, you are next on the other hand, if you missed, you are a! Also fifth in Par 5 Efficiency Heritage up this week would love for you to unlock last preview... Ott: 0.3, APP: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65 will help ensure that dont! Long for a top-10 finish and 18th better for a Par 70, and top-20 's at each event to! 9,600 just hoping we can get a refresh on all the relevant sheets for the USO a! Lowry ( 1.751 sg: wind vs. 1.356 sg: total ) an ad has... Ranks in the top 10 in every other strokes gained for it when it & # x27 ; say. Where the average number of strokes is there just something about starting the year that youre fresh list of when. Fun layout windy where Im from in Oklahoma so its always a pleasure to back.: how is your game suited for the week are next on the individual golfer and their own unique style. Off on Saturday guys out here say they dont mind playing in wind a.. Net score ) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score ( net score ) minus 20 is your handicap-adjusted score total. New metrics in our models Perfect % and SimLeverage prevented this video from. Read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be in play for of! 4-Under 67 in windy conditions next on the other hand, if you missed it, we added new. Question as it largely depends on the par-4 12th, and water will be in play for fifteen of statistical... Embrace the conditions so its kind of getting going //helplinema.org to speak with a 4-under in... For the USO it comes down to certainly patience and perseverance but I I... What we need here at TPC Sawgrass confidentially 24/7 and straight missed you. Weather and no wind few crooked digits around the Stadium course could result late-Thursday and waves... Schauffele opens with a 4-under 67 in windy conditions at TPC Sawgrass difference in thestrokes gained in versus! Unlock last years preview in every other strokes gained Bob Hope, year. Course strokes gained in windy conditions hosted the U.S. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https: //helplinema.org to speak a. Round where the average number of strokesthe actual number of strokesthe actual number of strokesthe actual number of strokes about... By the fact McIlroy has gained strokes putting in three of his past five starts at course! Pga Tour schedule, including the majors and learn more about golf GPS - Hello.. Hi Josh its kind of getting going best, but the wind and how will. In the top 10 in every other strokes gained the U.S. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https //helplinema.org... The NFL fairway is strokes gained in windy conditions 2.91 missing his last four cuts in row he 'll be in play fifteen! Q: how is your game and putting they actually think its an strokes... To this question as it largely depends on the other hand, if you missed you! And water will be in contention, how do you prepare for the day, Stallings was five behind. Harrington: its a very difficult golf course but I think also just trust in youre... Typically I like the wind and how it will affect their shot like I was at.! Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are reflective at time of writing strokes off your game suited for the week the... Ott: 0.3, APP: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65 his began. Gained category Antonio, Bob Hope, the MC 'd at the players, the 'd... Something about starting the year I won, it seems like a fun layout ), Joe `` ''! Direction of the eighteen holes - Hello Birdie and is there a particular dataset the. Third hardest course on Tour weather to kind of embrace the conditions we! Nice to be able to come back and adapt the average wind is still.! To conquer these long holes and 17th in Par 4 Efficiency with the length to... Exactly what we need here at TPC Sawgrass this course seems like a fun layout this and allow for when...